The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine and the Main Intelligence Directorate stated that there is no risk of an attack from Belarus yet.
The head of intelligence, Kyrylo Budanov, said in an interview with "RBK-Ukraine" that the activity of the Belarusian army near the borders of Ukraine is planned, and without Russian troops, Belarus would not dare to do anything. Currently, the presence of Russian troops there is minimal.
"At this phase, there is no threat from the Belarusian army to Ukraine. It wonʼt be in the near future. As soon as it appears, believe me, we will know about it almost at the same moment," — he said.
In an interview with LB.ua, Minister of Foreign Affairs Dmytro Kuleba assured that the Armed Forces are capable of defeating Belarusian troops, and Minsk understands this.
"If we are talking about the Belarusian army, I think that this risk may grow in proportion to the possible successes of the Russian army on the territory of Ukraine. As long as the Belarusian army clearly understands that the Armed Forces of Ukraine are capable of seriously overwhelming them, they will do everything possible to postpone their action. As of now, they are clearly aware of this," — said the minister.
- The General Staff of the Armed Forces reported that the Belarusian leadership is forming a "peopleʼs militia", strengthening patrolling of the territories near the border of Ukraine and conducting regular training there. In addition, a new southern operational command is being created in Belarus, which will be located on the border with Ukraine.
- In June, the Presidentʼs Office announced that they were closely monitoring the Belarusian army. Ukraine has developed a scenario for the invasion of Belarusian troops, and the Armed Forces of Ukraine are ready for the "meeting". Currently, up to seven Belarusian battalions, including Russian soldiers, are stationed on the Belarusian border with Ukraine. This is approximately 3.5-4 thousand personnel.
- The Institute for the Study of War believes that Belarus is unlikely to attack Ukraine on behalf of Russia, because it does not have enough forces for this.
- On July 2, Lukashenko announced that the Armed Forces of Ukraine tried to attack military facilities on the territory of his country. According to Lukashenko, "all the missiles were intercepted", but he gave the order to "target" the decision-making centers of the "opponents of Minsk".