The Belarusian authorities have extended the flight restriction zone for civil aviation (including UAVs) for another three months. Civilian planes are prohibited from flying in the south of Belarus at altitudes up to 19,800 meters from July 8 to October 7, 2022.
As the monitoring group "Belarusian Hajun" reports, this means that the threat of missile strikes from Belarus will remain for at least another three months. The country introduced a restricted zone at the beginning of Russiaʼs war against Ukraine. Its territory has not changed. Only the military aircraft of Belarus and Russia can operate within the zone.
It is from the south of Belarus that rockets are launched into the territory of Ukraine. According to the groupʼs calculations, at least 689 warheads have been launched from Belarus over Ukrainian cities since the beginning of the war.
- In June, the Presidentʼs Office announced that they were closely monitoring the Belarusian army. Ukraine has developed a scenario for the invasion of Belarusian troops, and the Armed Forces of Ukraine are ready for the "meeting". The Institute for the Study of War believes that Belarus is unlikely to attack Ukraine on behalf of Russia, because it does not have enough forces for this.
- On July 2, Lukashenko announced that the Armed Forces of Ukraine tried to attack military facilities on the territory of his country. According to Lukashenko, "all the missiles were intercepted", but he gave the order to "target" the decision-making centers of the "opponents of Minsk".
- The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine and intelligence agencies believe that there is no risk of an attack from Belarus yet.